SYSTEMIC RISK INTELLIGENCE · EUR/USD · WTI · GOLD · T-NOTE

Structural fragility.
Detected before
the move.

Dynamic Entropy Index — 12-node automated watchdog

FractureOS monitors EUR/USD systemic stress across 12 independent risk nodes — COT positioning, credit spreads, geopolitical pulse, cross-asset flows — and fires automated alerts when the structural picture becomes fragile.

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▶ LIVE
EUR/USD 6E 29.77 [WATCH]
WTI CL 33.52 [WATCH]
Gold GC 25.12 [STABLE]
T-Note ZN 23.84 [STABLE]
Direction SHORT BIAS 68%
Regime BUILDING_STRESS
COT AM Net +294,538 [EXTREME]
208w
Backtest history
4.38
Sharpe ratio
66.7%
Signal win rate
p=0.039
Statistical significance
// HOW IT WORKS

From raw data to
structural fragility signal

Four automated layers process 9 live data sources every 30 minutes — no human initiation required.

01 / DATA
9 Live Sources
Polygon.io · FRED macro · CFTC COT · GPR Caldara-Iacoviello · NewsAPI ECB sentiment
02 / CALC
DEI Formula
H(v) × SV(v) × φ(v) × 100 per node. Shannon entropy × systemic vulnerability × instability pulse.
03 / SIGNAL
3-Layer Filter
State Vector → Cross-Asset Confirmation → Temporal Persistence. VIX-adaptive thresholds.
04 / ALERT
Automated Delivery
Telegram alert with direction bias, entry zone, stop, targets, R:R. Weekly Decision Memo.
🔴 FractureOS SIGNAL CONFIRMED
System DEI: 55.2 [ALERT]  Delta: +8.4 ↑
Direction: SHORT BIAS  Confidence: 72/100 [HIGH]
Entry zone: 1.0850–1.0865  Stop: 1.0905 (+55 pip)
Target 1: 1.0795 (-50 pip)  T2: 1.0715 (-130 pip) RR 1:2.4
Regime: BUILDING_STRESS  Analogues: Sept 2022 [97%] 5d win=70%
// 12 RISK NODES — EUR/USD
N01
Fed Policy
N02
ECB Policy
N03
EUR/USD Rate
N04
Growth Differential
N05
Safe-Haven
N06
Options / IV
N07
Risk Sentiment
N08
Geopolitical Risk
N09
COT Positioning
N10
Credit Spreads
N11
Capital Flows
N12
Liquidity
// VERIFIED BACKTEST — SEPTEMBER 2022

EUR/USD parity break.
Detected 48 hours early.

Sept
2022
EUR/USD PARITY BREAK
55.5
DEI SCORE [ALERT]

Two days before EUR/USD broke parity in September 2022, the DEI reached 55.5 — entering ALERT territory. Every major structural node was elevated simultaneously: Fed/ECB policy divergence at maximum, Asset Manager positioning at extreme short, GPR elevated from energy crisis, HY credit spreads widening, cross-asset risk-off cascade active.

The system fired an automated alert with SHORT BIAS 72% and a 2-day temporal persistence confirmation. By the time price action confirmed the move, the structural setup had been visible for 48 hours.

N01 FED POLICY N02 ECB POLICY N05 SAFE-HAVEN N08 GEOPOLITICAL N10 CREDIT SPREADS COT AM EXTREME SHORT
// VALIDATED PERFORMANCE — 208 WEEKS

Statistical edge.
Not narrative.

Full backtest 2022–2026. Walk-forward validated. All metrics independently computable from public data.

4.38
SHARPE RATIO
vs 0.61 buy-and-hold baseline over same period
66.7%
SIGNAL WIN RATE
on confirmed ALERT signals, 5-day horizon
p=0.039
T-TEST SIGNIFICANCE
returns statistically non-zero at 95% confidence
2.5×
VOL UPLIFT
realized volatility when DEI ≥ 40 vs below
1.826
WALK-FORWARD SHARPE
out-of-sample 2024–2026 test period
p<0.001
SV NODE VALIDATION
all 12 nodes validated via Granger causality
DOWNLOAD FULL PERFORMANCE REPORT (PDF) →
// PRICING

Three tiers.
One methodology.

All plans include the core DEI watchdog, automated Telegram alerts, and weekly Decision Memo. No long-term commitment required.

// BASIC
$1,000
/month
  • DEI dashboard — EUR/USD + CL + GC + ZN
  • Automated Telegram alerts
  • Weekly Decision Memo
  • 208-week historical DEI data
  • Performance report access
  • Momentum & analogue engine
  • REST API access
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MOST POPULAR
// PRO
$2,000
/month
  • Everything in Basic
  • Momentum & velocity engine
  • Historical analogues (top-5)
  • Directional bias + confidence score
  • S4/S5 seasonal signal overlay
  • Cross-instrument confluence engine
  • REST API access
REQUEST ACCESS →
// ENTERPRISE
$3,000
/month
  • Everything in Pro
  • Full REST API (JWT auth)
  • WebSocket real-time DEI stream
  • Full 12-node breakdown
  • Top-10 historical analogues
  • Custom onboarding support
  • Prometheus metrics endpoint
CONTACT FOR ACCESS →

→ First month available at founder pricing for qualified practitioners.
→ Free 2-week trial in exchange for feedback.
→ Contact: [email protected]

RISK DISCLOSURE: FractureOS provides structural risk assessment for informational purposes only. Not financial advice, investment advice, or trading recommendations. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All trading involves substantial risk of loss.